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Saturn Oil & Gas Inc. announces 62.9 million BOE of reserves and proved developed producing net asset value (NPV10 BT) increases 54% to $6.92 per fully diluted share


These translations are done via Google Translate
Calgary, Alberta – Saturn Oil & Gas Inc. (TSXV: SOIL) (FSE: SMKA) (OTCQX: OILSF) (“Saturn” or the “Company“) is pleased to announce the results of the independent reserves evaluation of the Company’s crude oil and natural gas assets, dated February 21, 2023 and effective December 31, 2022, in compliance with National Instrument 51-101 – Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities (“NI 51-101“) and in accordance with the Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation Handbook (the “Reserve Report“). The Reserve Report does not include the acquisition of Ridgeback Resources Inc. (“Ridgeback“) which occurred after year end 2022. The December 31, 2022 year-end reserves of Ridgeback are also summarized below.

Reserves Evaluation Highlights

The Company’s Reserve Report, prepared by Ryder Scott Company-Canada (“Ryder Scott“), evaluated the Company’s assets in Southeast Saskatchewan (the “Oxbow Asset“) and in West Central Saskatchewan (the “Viking Asset“) and is highlighted by:

  • 62.9 million BOE of Total Proved + Probable (“TP+P“) reserves, representing a 24% year over year increase.
  • $791.5 million net present value of future net revenue of the Proved Developed Producing (“PDP“) reserves discounted at 10% (“NPV10%“), in addition to $883.7 million of PDP NPV10% of Ridgeback reserves, as further described below.
  • 452 booked gross drilling locations, 64% located in the Oxbow Asset and 36% in the Viking Asset.
  • High oil weighting with TP+P reserves comprise 95% light & medium oil and natural gas liquids (“NGL“).
  • Long reserve life index (“RLI“) of 6.6 years for PDP reserves and 13.8 years for TP+Preserves.
  • Two year average TP+P F&D costs of $13.93 /boe (4.6x recycle ratio)1.
  • Two year average TP+P FD&A costs of $12.99 /boe (4.6x recycle ratio)1.
  • Net asset value per fully diluted share4:
    • Proved Developed Producing of $6.92;
    • Total Proved of $9.27; and
    • Total Proved + Probable of $12.88.

Summary of Gross Oil and Gas Reserves and Net Present Value of Revenue

The following tables are a summary of the Ryder Scott estimated Company reserves (Company share gross volumes) and net present values (“NPV“) of future net revenue, before tax, based on forecast price and costs as contained in the Reserve Report2. The Reserve Report encompasses 100% of the Company’s oil and gas properties at December 31, 2022.

 

Reserves Category2

Light and
Medium Oil
Natural Gas
Liquids
Conventional
Natural Gas
Barrels of Oil
Equivalent

Liquids Ratio
(mbbls) (mbbls) (MMcf) (Mboe) (%)
Proved
Developed Producing 27,930 954 7,522 30,138 96
Developed Non-producing 34 2 45 44 82
Undeveloped 11,406 492 4,496 12,647 94
Total Proved 39,370 1,448 12,063 42,829 95
Probable 18,374 629 6,147 20,027 95
Total Proved + Probable 57,744 2,077 18,210 62,856 95
NPVs before tax2 Discounted at:

Reserves Category
0% 5% 10% 15% 20%
(MM$) (MM$) (MM$) (MM$) (MM$)
Proved
Developed Producing 856.6 896.9 791.5 698.6 626.6
Developed Non-Producing 2.4 1.8 1.4 1.2 1.0
Undeveloped 451.4 323.2 238.5 180.7 139.9
Total Proved 1,310.4 1,221.8 1,031.4 880.5 767.5
Probable 1,001.5 578.2 370.4 256.2 187.7
Total Proved + Probable 2,311.9 1,800.1 1,401.8 1,136.7 955.2

Net Asset Value

The following table sets out a calculation of NAV based on the estimated before-tax estimated net present value of future net revenue discounted at 10% (“NPV10 BT“) associated with the PDP, Total Proved (“TP“) and TP+P reserves, as evaluated in the Reserve Report, including deductions for future development costs, abandonment and reclamation obligations:

Proved Developed
Producing

Total Proved
Total Proved
+ Probable
NPV10 BT (MM$) 791.5 1,031.4 1,401.8
Estimated net debt December 31, 2022 (MM$)3 220.9 220.9 220.9
Net Asset Value (MM$)1 570.6 810.5 1,180.9
Basic shares outstanding (MM) 59.8 59.8 59.8
Estimated NAV/ basic share ($)3 9.53 13.53 19.72
Estimated NAV/ fully diluted share ($)4 6.92 9.27 12.88

Reconciliation of Reserves

The following table provides a summary of the reconciliation of the changes in the Company’s gross reserves as of December 31, 2022 against reserves at December 31, 2021, based on forecast prices and costs assumptions in effect at the applicable reserve evaluation date:

Light and Medium Oil Natural Gas Liquids Natural Gas Total BOE
Total
T. Proved Total
T. Proved Total
T. Proved Total
T. Proved
 Proved + Probable Proved + Probable Proved + Probable Proved + Probable
(Mbbl) (Mbbl) (Mbbl) (Mbbl) (MMcf) (MMcf) (Mboe) (Mboe)
December 31, 2021 30,949 46,374 1,357 2,067 8,864 13,330 33,783 50,663
Extensions 168 186 6 7 59 69 184 205
Improved Recovery 34 56 2 3 45 49 44 67
Infill Drilling 1,854 1,981 49 58 552 614 1,995 2,141
Technical Revisions (2,075) (2,826) (163) (338) 420 1,114 (2,168) (2,978)
Acquisitions 6,537 9,131 51 71 1,328 1,871 6,809 9,514
Economic Factors 4,492 5,431 269 332 1,569 1,937 5,023 6,086
Production (2,589) (2,589) (122) (122) (774) (774) (2,840) (2,840)
December 31, 2022 39,370 57,744 1,448 2,077 12,063 18,210 42,829 62,856
Year over year change 27% 25% 7% 0% 36% 37% 27% 24%

Future Development Costs

The following table provides a summary of the estimated Future Development Costs (“FDC“) required to bring Saturn’s Total Proved and Total Proved + Probable undeveloped reserves to production, as reflected in the Reserve Report, which costs have been deducted in Ryder Scott’s estimation of future net revenue associated with such reserves:

Total Total Proved
Future Development Costs (MM$) Proved + Probable
2023 60.0 71.9
2024 59.9 71.6
2025 55.3 66.2
2026 57.5 68.4
2027 55.1 74.5
Remainder 133.9
Total FDC undiscounted 287.8 486.5

Performance Measures

The following table highlights Finding, Development and Acquisition (“FD&A“)1 costs and associated recycle ratios based on the evaluation of reserves prepared by Ryder Scott:

 

Proved plus Probable FD&A costs1

 

2022

 

2021

Two Year Totals and Weighted
Average
Capital expenditures ($MM) $ 86.9 $ 8.1 $ 95.0
Net acquisition expenditures ($MM) $ 248.4 $ 82.3 $ 330.7
Total expenditures ($MM) $ 335.3 $ 90.4 $ 425.7
Gross reserve additions (Mboe) 15,034 45,612 60,646
FD&A cost (per BOE) 1 $ 22.30 $ 1.98 $ 7.02
Average Operating Netback (per BOE) 3 $ 65.92 $ 36.38 $ 59.65
Recycle Ratio1 3.0x 18.4x 8.5x
Change in FDC ($MM) $ 183.1 $ 179.2 362.3
FD&A Cost, including change in FDC (per BOE) 1 $ 34.48 $ 5.91 $ 12.99
Recycle Ratio, including change in FDC1 1.9x 6.2x 4.6x

The following table highlights Finding and Development (“F&D“)1 costs and associated recycle ratios based on the evaluation of reserves prepared by Ryder Scott:

 

Proved plus Probable F&D costs

2022 2021 Two Year Totals and Weighted
Average
Capital expenditures ($MM) $ 86.9 $ 8.1 $ 95.0
Gross reserve additions from capital expenditure (Mboe) 5,521 1,299 6,820
F&D cost (per BOE) 3 $ 15.74 $ 6.24 $ 13.93
Average Operating Netback (per BOE) 3 $ 65.92 $ 36.38 $ 63.40
Recycle Ratio1 4.2x 5.8x 4.6x

Price Forecast

The following table summarizes the commodity price forecasts and foreign exchange rate assumptions of three consultant’s average forecasts5 as of January 1, 2023 as applied in the Reserve Report, for the next five years.

 

Year


Exchange Rate

WTI @ Cushing
Canadian Light
Sweet 40º API

AECO Spot

Butane
$US/$C (US$/bbl) (C$/bbl) (C$/MMbtu) (C$/bbl)
2023 0.745 80.33 103.76 4.23 53.88
2024 0.765 78.50 97.74 4.40 52.67
2025 0.768 76.95 95.27 4.21 51.42
2026 0.772 77.61 95.58 4.27 51.61
2027 0.775 79.16 97.07 4.43 52.39

Total Location Summary

The following table summarizes the gross drilling locations identified for future development in the Reserve Report:

 

Field


Locations

Year End 2022
Previous
Locations
Year End 2021
Glen Ewen 137 127
Ingoldsby 12 20
Manor 78 82
Weir Hill 63 72
West Central (Viking) 162 53
Total Locations 452 354

Ridgeback Resources Inc. Summary of Gross Oil and Gas Reserves and Net Present Value of Revenue

Saturn completed the acquisition of Ridgeback Resources Inc. on February 28, 2023. The following tables are a summary of the Ridgeback’s estimated corporate reserves (Ridgeback’s share of gross volumes) and net present values of future net revenue, before tax, based on escalated prices and costs as forecasted by Sproule Associates Ltd. (“Sproule“) effective December 31, 2022. The evaluation of Ridgeback’s reserves, dated February 17, 2023, encompasses 100% of Ridgeback’s oil and gas properties at December 31, 2022 (the “Sproule Report“) and was prepared in accordance with NI 51-101 by Sproule:

 

Reserves Category2

Light and
Medium Oil
Natural Gas
Liquids
Conventional
Natural Gas
Coal Bed
Methane
Barrels of Oil
Equivalent
Liquids
Ratio
(mbbls) (mbbls) (MMcf) (MMcf) (Mboe) (%)
Proved
Developed Producing 21,065 4,771 70,133 23 37,529 69
Developed Non-producing 382 121 1,724 790 64
Undeveloped 18,416 2,652 40,694 27,850 76
Total Proved 39,863 7,544 112,550 23 66,169 72
Probable 18,780 3,210 48,683 8 30,105 73
Total Proved + Probable 58,643 10,754 161,233 31 96,274 72
NPVs before tax2 Discounted at:

Reserves Category
0% 5% 10% 15% 20%
(MM$) (MM$) (MM$) (MM$) (MM$)
Proved
Developed Producing 1,107.5 1,024.3 883.7 773.8 690.9
Developed Non-Producing 27.9 21.7 18.0 15.6 13.8
Undeveloped 451.4 323.2 238.5 180.7 139.9
Total Proved 1,893.4 1,534.9 1,231.5 1,018.4 866.4
Probable 1,194.2 736.6 507.9 376.8 294.3
Total Proved + Probable 3,087.5 2,271.6 1,739.4 1,395.2 1,160.8

Price Forecast for Sproule Report

The following table summarizes the commodity price forecasts and foreign exchange rate assumptions as of December 31, 2022 as applied in the Sproule Report, for the next five years.

 

Year


Exchange Rate

WTI @ Cushing
Canadian Light
Sweet 40º API

AECO Spot

Butane
$US/$C (US$/bbl) (C$/bbl) (C$/MMbtu) (C$/bbl)
2023 0.75 86.00 110.67 4.33 54.47
2024 0.80 84.00 101.25 4.34 52.50
2025 0.80 80.00 96.18 4.00 50.00
2026 0.80 81.60 98.10 4.08 51.00
2027 0.80 83.23 100.06 4.16 52.02

Total Location Summary of Sproule Report

The following table summarizes the gross drilling locations identified for future development in the Sproule Report:


Field
Locations
Year End 2022
SE Saskatchewan 293
Cardium & Southern Alberta 175
Deer Mountain 22
Kaybob 22
Total Locations 512

Granting of Incentive Stock Options and Expiry of Warrants.

The board of directors of Saturn has authorized the granting of inventive stock options to directors, officers, employees and consultants entitling them to purchase up to a total of 1,508,000 common shares at a price of $2.50 per share for a period of five years, vesting as to 1/3 per year on the first, second and third anniversary of the date of grant. In addition, the Company issued an aggregate of 97,500 restricted share units at a reference price of $2.50 vesting as to 1/3 per year on the first, second and third anniversary of the date of grant.

On February 28, 2023 approximately 2.2 million share purchase warrants, that were issued to a previous lender to the Company, expired unexercised.

On March 1, 2023: Net debt was estimated at approximately $550 million; Saturn has approximately 138.5 million common shares outstanding; warrants and options issued that are convertible into approximately 48.9 million common shares with an average exercise price of $3.12 per share for aggregate exercise proceeds of approximately $152.8 million.

Year End Disclosures

The 2022 financial information in this news release is unaudited and accordingly, such financial information is subject to change based on the results of the Company’s year-end audit, schedule to be released on or about March 28, 2023.

Additional reserve information as required under NI 51-101 will be included in the Company’s annual information form which will be filed on SEDAR on or about March 28, 2023.



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