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Oil Holds Losses on Bearish Headwinds From Trade to Stockpiles


By Elizabeth Low and Alex Longley

(Bloomberg) Oil held losses near a two-month low as pessimism persisted over the global economic outlook and American crude inventories expanded more than expected.Futures were little changed in New York after earlier falling as much as 2.3% on a report that the U.S. and China had made no progress in deputy-level trade talks and the Beijing delegation would leave Washington a day early. Prices later recovered following a separate report that there was no change in the schedule. Meanwhile, American crude stockpiles rose for a fourth week running.

Oil has been on downward trend since spiking in mid-September

Oil has now slumped more than 16% since jumping in the wake of September’s attacks on Saudi Arabia, with the kingdom quickly restoring production and investors turning their attention to the global economic slowdown. The protracted trade war is denting the demand outlook for oil, with the heads of major trading houses predicting prices in the $50s a year from now.

“This is such a sentiment-driven market right now,” Mike Tran, an analyst at RBC Capital Markets, said in a Bloomberg Television interview. “Fundamentals of the oil market don’t look that bad at the moment. We certainly believe that there’s not enough supply-disruption risk premium in the market.”

West Texas Intermediate for November delivery slipped 4 cents to $52.55 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange as of 10:20 a.m. London time.

Brent for December settlement dropped 16 cents, or 0.3%, to $58.16 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe Exchange. The global benchmark crude traded at a $5.61 premium to WTI for the same month.

U.S. crude stockpiles rose by 2.93 million barrels last week, according to data Wednesday from the Energy Information Administration. That’s a bigger gain than the 1.9 million barrels anticipated in a Bloomberg survey of analysts.

See also: U.S. Weighs Currency Pact With China as Part of Partial Deal

The prolonged spat between Beijing and Washington has sapped global demand, with Citigroup Inc. predicting last month that oil-consumption growth has almost halved. A team of Chinese negotiators has now arrived in Washington to resume trade talks starting Thursday. The White House is weighing a currency pact as part of a partial deal, according to people familiar with the matter.

Other oil-market news
  • Saudi Aramco’s long-delayed mega-IPO is finally set to hit the market, with the Saudis hoping for a valuation of $2 trillion, but investors may find that price too high.
  • Halliburton Co. is reducing its workforce in the Rockies as the biggest oilfield service contractor to announce job cuts grapples with a protracted spending slump in the shale patch.
  • After a two-week hiatus, oil traders are once again booking supertankers operated by the Chinese shipping giant COSCO which got caught up in U.S. sanctions.
  • Ecuador’s state oil company was forced to declare force majeure on crude exports, and U.S. West Coast refiners could suffer. While Ecuador’s exports aren’t huge, almost half go to refineries in California and Washington state, tanker-tracking data show.


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