Oil Set for First Weekly Gain Since July as U.S. Refiners Return

(Bloomberg)

Oil headed for the first weekly gain since July as Gulf Coast refiners ramp up crude processing after disruptions from Hurricane Harvey.

Futures were little changed in New York, up 3.7 percent for the week. Only about 8 percent of U.S. refining capacity remains shut following the storm, which halted about 25 percent after it first made landfall two weeks ago, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. American crude stockpiles rose by 4.58 million barrels last week, the first gain since June.

While refineries, pipelines and offshore platforms resume operations after Harvey, another Atlantic hurricane, known as Irma, is approaching the U.S. coast and is set to hit Florida on Sunday. Imports into the Gulf Coast region last week fell to the lowest in records going back to 1990, and nationwide crude output fell below 9 million barrels a day for the first time since February.

“When refineries gave signals that damage was not too great and restarts were on the table, then crude rose back up and then continued higher,” said Bjarne Schieldrop, chief commodities analyst at SEB AB in Oslo.

West Texas Intermediate for October delivery was at $49.08 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, down 1 cent, at 1:36 p.m. in London. Total volume traded was about 13 percent below the 100-day average. Prices lost 7 cents to close at $49.09 on Thursday.

See also: Gulf Coast Refiner Recovery Dependent on Help From Their Friends

Brent for November settlement was up 27 cents at $54.76 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange. Prices gained 29 cents, or 0.5 percent, to $54.49 on Thursday and are 3.8 percent higher this week. The global benchmark traded at a premium of $5.23 to November WTI.

Gulf Coast imports dropped by 41 percent last week to 1.48 million barrels a day, the lowest volume since at least January 1990, according to a report from the Energy Information Administration on Thursday. Nationwide crude output slid by 749,000 barrels a day to 8.78 million a day.

“While the fear last week was for reduced oil processing by refineries due to hurricane Harvey, the coin has now flipped,” said Schieldrop. “Now the concern is that this may be a heavy hurricane season with the risk of substantial disruptions to crude oil production in the Gulf of Mexico.”

Oil-market news:

A closely-held Chinese oil company agreed to buy a minority stake in Rosneft PJSC, Russia’s biggest crude producer, the latest sign that the two nations are deepening ties amid increasing tensions with the U.S. Limetree Bay Terminals LLC’s St. Croix oil terminal in the U.S. Virgin Islands has been shut since Tuesday evening because of Hurricane Irma, according to a person familiar with the operations. Russia should follow Mexico in using financial instruments to lock in future oil revenue as producers confront growing risks from cyclical price moves, according to Goldman Sachs Group Inc. Supply of Abu Dhabi’s Murban crude will be reduced to lifters in November and December due to planned maintenance, according to people with knowledge of matter.