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Liberals lose ground on vote intention in B.C., however, with Green Party and CPC picking up defectors
December 1, 2025 – New public opinion polling data from the non-profit Angus Reid Institute – the first comprehensive, regional and national dive into political dynamics since last week’s announcement of a memorandum of understanding regarding a potential pipeline from Alberta to northwest British Columbia – shows that while Prime Minister Mark Carney lost a cabinet minister who disapproved of the MOU deeply, the PM’s approval level among the Canadian population remains stable.
Indeed, both nationally, and in B.C., the epicentre of forthcoming negotiations and most certainly protests over the potential pipeline, Carney’s approval stands at 52 per cent. In Alberta, the PM gains three points in approval, up to 45 per cent.
At the federal political level Conservative support has increased for Carney. One-quarter (24%) of those who voted for Pierre Poilievre’s party in April say they approve of the PM, an increase of six points from early November. His approval loss among those who voted for the other major federal parties offsets this gain (Liberal -3 to 85%, NDP -7 to 54% and BQ -14 to 37%).
Overall, 40 per cent say they would support the Liberals in a federal election, while 37 per cent would support the CPC. The NDP and BQ, both likely to seek to benefit from some of the unrest among progressives in the country are chosen by 10 per cent and nine per cent respectively.
Under the surface, however, are regional undercurrents pulling in more worrying directions. In B.C., the Liberals have dropped five points in vote intention, with those voters moving to the right and left. The CPC is up three points to 43 per cent and the Green Party has moved from three to six per cent.
Higher approval for Carney among Albertans isn’t translating into a bump in vote intention. The CPC leads the Liberals in that province 54 per cent to 27 per cent.
Link to the poll, and more key findings, here: www.angusreid.org/
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