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Oil Trades Near Six-Week Low as Data Shows U.S. Stockpiles Rose


By Elizabeth Low and Grant Smith

(Bloomberg) Oil traded near a six-week low as industry data showing an increase in U.S. crude stockpiles re-affirmed expectations that global markets will be oversupplied in the first part of the year.Futures steadied near $58 a barrel as traders focused on the approaching seasonal lull in demand once winter ends. The American Petroleum Institute reported inventories expanded by 1.1 million barrels last week, according to people familiar with the data. OPEC warned of surging supplies from competitors from Norway to Guyana this year that could keep oil markets weak.

U.S. crude inventories are recovering after year-end dip

West Texas Intermediate crude for February delivery rose 5 cents to $58.28 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange as of 9:07 a.m. local time. The contract closed Monday at the lowest since Dec. 3. Concerns that the U.S. and Iran were headed for conflict over the killing of an Iranian general, which sent prices soaring earlier this month, have largely dissipated.

Front-month WTI futures were at a discount, or contango, to second-month for a second day, a relationship normally suggesting oversupply.

Brent futures for March settlement dropped 3 cents to $64.46 a barrel on the ICE Futures Europe exchange after climbing 0.5% on Tuesday. The global benchmark crude traded at a $6.16 premium to WTI for the same month.

“The preliminary API data is likely weighing on sentiment this morning,” said Harry Tchilinguirian, head of commodity markets strategy at BNP Paribas SA.

The U.S. government’s Energy Information Administration will release official data on stockpiles later on Wednesday. Analysts surveyed by Bloomberg forecast it would show inventories rose by 1.1 million barrels in the week ended Jan. 10, in line with the API’s numbers. That would be the second straight increase following three weeks of declines.

President Donald Trump’s impending initial trade agreement with China has also impacted oil prices. The pact, in theory, defuses tensions that weighed on markets throughout last year, but isn’t wholly assuaging concerns.

Existing U.S. tariffs on Chinese goods are likely to stay in place until after the presidential election, people familiar said, while Reuters reported America is drafting more rules to block sales to Huawei Technologies Co.

“While the stay in existing tariffs may be disappointing, further details from the agreement tonight might change the mood in the market,” said Howie Lee, an economist at Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp. in Singapore. “Additional positive details, especially pertaining to phase-two negotiations, might yet give crude prices a lift.”

Other oil-market news
  • A BloombergNEF report released Tuesday said that a predicted slowdown in Permian Basin output won’t be as severe or swift as some executives are predicting.
  • Russia and the U.A.E. said that OPEC and its allies will proceed with a scheduled meeting in March to decide whether to continue production cuts. Tass reported Tuesday that it might be canceled.
  • U.S. oil output growth could decelerate by more than 50% next year, the EIA forecast, as greater capital discipline cuts drilling rigs in America’s largest shale patch.
  • An Arctic blast sweeping across Western Canada is weighing on the price of heavy crude. Temperatures in Alberta and Saskatchewan are cold enough to render the region’s viscous oil rock solid.


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