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Oil Slumps to Lowest in a Year as Fear of Virus Hit Spreads


By Rakteem Katakey and Ann Koh

(Bloomberg) Oil extended declines to the lowest in a year on fears the fast-spreading coronavirus will take a major toll on the global economy.Futures in New York fell 1.4% after plummeting more than 7% over the previous three sessions. Top U.S. health officials on Tuesday warned of a domestic outbreak of the infection, triggering another sell-off on Wall Street and in commodities. South Korean cases topped 1,200 from just 51 a week ago, there have been 11 deaths in Italy and the toll is mounting in Iran.

WTI put skew surges to the highest since June as traders seek protection

Investors are struggling to gauge whether the virus will turn into a global pandemic and how severe the economic impact will be. A meeting of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies next week is taking on even greater significance as the market waits to see if the alliance will agree to deeper and longer production cuts to counter a slump in demand.

“It’s more and more about what this means for demand, and it looks like there’s more weakness to come in the short-term,” said Michael Poulsen, an analyst at Global Risk Management Ltd. “The big question is how wide and deep the impact of the virus is going to be.”

West Texas Intermediate for April delivery fell to $49.21 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange as of 9:34 a.m. in London, after closing down 3% on Tuesday. The so-called put skew — the premium traders will pay for options protecting against a drop in prices over those protecting against a rise — is at the highest level since June.

Brent for April declined 1.6% to $54.06 a barrel on the ICE Futures Europe exchange after dropping 2.4% in the previous session. The global benchmark crude was at a $4.82 premium to WTI for the same month.

While the oil market is also struggling with rising supply. The American Petroleum Institute reported that crude inventories rose by 1.3 million barrels last week, according to people familiar with the data. That would be a fifth straight weekly build if confirmed by official government data later on Wednesday. A Bloomberg survey forecast a 2.6 million barrels rise, according to a Bloomberg survey.

Other oil-market news
  • Chevron Corp. asked traders and other staff at its Canary Wharf office in London to work from home as a precaution after an employee was tested for the coronavirus, according to a person familiar with the matter.
  • Once the demand star among oil products, the coronavirus has pushed jet fuel to the bottom of the barrel in the near term at least.
  • Asian petrochemical producers outside of China are starting to feel the effects of the deadly coronavirus, with companies cutting rates as stockpiles swell and profits crash due to waning demand.


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