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Hazloc Heaters
WEC - Western Engineered Containment


Painted Pony Announces 6.9 Tcfe of Proved Plus Probable Reserves, Record Annual Production and Adjusted Funds Flow from Operations, and 2017 Year-End Financial and Operating Results


These translations are done via Google Translate

CALGARYMarch 7, 2018 /CNW/ – Painted Pony Energy Ltd. (“Painted Pony” or the “Corporation“) (TSX: PONY) is pleased to announce that Proved Plus Probable reserves as at December 31, 2017 were 6.9 Tcfe representing year-over-year growth of 40%, record annual average daily production of 257 MMcfe/d (42,882 boe/d) complimented by a 93% increase in adjusted funds flow from operations to a Corporation record of $108 million, and 2017 year-end financial and operational results.

2017 Reserve Highlights:

  • Increased Proved Developed Producing reserves by 64% to 797 Bcfe at year-end 2017 from 484 Bcfe at year-end 2016;
  • Increased Proved Developed Producing net present value by 28% or $200 million to $905 million ($5.62per share) compared to December 31, 2016 at a 10% discount rate using pricing from independent qualified reserves evaluators, GLJ Petroleum Consultants Ltd. (“GLJ“);
  • Generated a finding, development and acquisition (“FD&A“) Proved Developed Producing recycle ratio of 1.1 times, while finding and development (“F&D“) Proved Developed Producing costs produced a recycle ratio of 1.6 times;
  • Replaced 432% of 2017 production volumes through Proved Developed Producing reserve additions of 313 Bcfe, including 10 MMbbls of natural gas liquids (“NGL“);
  • Increased Total Proved reserves by 17% to 3.1 Tcfe, including 31 MMbbls of natural gas liquids, at year-end 2017 compared to 2.7 Tcfe at year end 2016;
  • Generated an FD&A Total Proved recycle ratio of 1.6 times, inclusive of changes in future development capital (“FDC“);
  • Increased Proved Plus Probable reserves by 40% to 6.9 Tcfe, including 73 MMbbls of natural gas liquids, at year-end 2017 from 4.9 Tcfe at year end 2016; and
  • Generated an FD&A Proved Plus Probable recycle ratio of 1.9 times, inclusive of FDC.

2017 Fourth Quarter and Full Year Financial Highlights

  • Achieved record annual adjusted funds flow from operations for Painted Pony of $108 million ($0.76 per share) in 2017 compared to $56 million ($0.56 per share) during 2016, an increase of 93% (36% per share);
  • Increased adjusted funds flow from operations during the fourth quarter of 2017 by 33% to $35 millioncompared to $27 million during the fourth quarter of 2016; and
  • Underspent fourth quarter capital by $11 million or 15%, spending $62 million compared to capital spending guidance of $74 million as released on November 8, 2017.

2017 Fourth Quarter and Full-Year Production Highlights

  • Increased fourth quarter 2017 average daily production volumes by 43% to 315 MMcfe/d (52,544 boe/d), which includes the impact of approximately 48 MMcfe/d (8,000 boe/d) of voluntary pricing-related production shut-ins, compared to 2016 average daily production volumes of 220 Mcfe/d (36,695 boe/d);
  • Averaged annual daily production volumes of 257 MMcfe/d (42,882 boe/d) during 2017, an 85% increase over 2016 annual average daily production of 139 MMcfe/d (23,204 boe/d); and
  • NGL annual average daily production volumes increased by 130% to 3,587 bbls/d during 2017 compared to 1,557 bbls/d during 2016.

Patrick Ward, President and CEO of Painted Pony, in commenting on these highlights said, “Despite a very challenging commodity price environment, 2017 operations lifted Painted Pony to almost 7 Tcfe of Proved Plus Probable reserves with a net present value of $3.3 billion or $20.43 per share at a 10% discount rate using our independent reserve evaluator’s pricing. We are particularly pleased with the 64% growth in our Proved Developed Producing reserves. Painted Pony achieved some notable records for the Corporation in 2017.  Annual average daily production at over 257 MMcfe/d or 42,882 boe/d and adjusted funds flow from operations of $108 million are both records for Painted Pony and significant milestones for the Corporation of which we are very proud.”

SUMMARY OF 2017 RESERVES AS PREPAR ED BY GLJ PETROLEUM CONSULTANTS
2017 Summary of Reserves
GLJ, independent qualified reserves evaluators, prepared an evaluation of Painted Pony’s properties effective December 31, 2017, which is contained in a report dated March 6, 2018.

Proved Developed Producing
During 2017, Painted Pony increased Proved Developed Producing reserves by 64% to 797 Bcfe (133 MMboe) at an FD&A cost of $1.40 per Mcfe.  The Corporation’s Proved Developed Producing reserve additions replaced 2017 average daily production by 4.3 times.

Total Proved
During 2017, Painted Pony increased Total Proved reserves by 17% to 3.1 Tcfe (518 MMboe) at an FD&A cost of $0.96 per Mcfe. The Corporation’s Total Proved reserve additions replaced 2017 average daily production by 5.9 times.

Proved Plus Probable
During 2017, Painted Pony increased Proved Plus Probable reserves by 40% to 6.9 Tcfe (1,149 MMboe) at an FD&A cost of $0.82 per Mcfe. The Corporation’s Proved Plus Probable reserve additions replaced 2017 average daily production by 21.8 times.

2017 FINDING, DEVELOPMENT & ACQUISITION COSTS AND RECYCLE RATIOS
In 2017, the Corporation generated an FD&A Total Proved recycle ratio, inclusive of FDC, of 1.6 times. This is calculated as per the table below.  The operating netback of $1.54 /Mcfe, which has been adjusted to include the cost of the finance lease expense related to the AltaGas Ltd. facility at Townsend (“AltaGas Townsend Facility“), is divided by the FD&A costs, including changes in FDC, of $0.96/Mcfe on a Total Proved basis.

($/Mcfe)

2017

Revenue

2.65

Realized Gain on Risk Management Contracts

0.47

Revenue including Realized Gain on Risk Management Contracts

3.12

Royalties

(0.05)

Operating Expenses

(0.64)

Transportation Costs

(0.42)

Operating Netback

2.01

Finance Lease Expense for AltaGas Townsend Facility

(0.47)

Operating Netback including Finance Lease Expense

1.54

Note: See Non-GAAP disclosure in Advisory section

The following tables outline GLJ’s estimates of Painted Pony’s reserves at December 31, 2017 and December 31, 2016:

Summary of Company Working Interest Reserves
(Numbers in this table may not add due to rounding)

December 31, 2017

December 31, 2016

Natural Gas
(Bcf)

NGLs
(MMbbls)

Natural Gas
Equivalent
(Bcfe)

Oil
Equivalent
(MMboe)

Natural Gas
Equivalent
(Bcfe)

Proved Developed Producing

733.7

10.5

796.6

132.8

484.4

Proved Developed Non-Producing

14.7

14.7

2.5

4.5

Proved Undeveloped

2,175.7

20.5

2,298.9

383.1

2,163.8

Total Proved

2,924.2

31.0

3,110.2

518.4

2,652.7

Total Probable

3,530.8

42.0

3,782.8

630.5

2,287.6

Total Proved Plus Probable

6,454.9

73.0

6,893.0

1,148.8

4,940.3

See the advisories with respect to resource definitions.

The following tables outline GLJ’s estimates of Painted Pony’s associated net present values of reserves at December 31, 2017:

Net Present Values of Future Net Revenue (1)(2)

(Forecast Prices and Costs; Numbers in this table may not add due to rounding) ($Millions)

As at December 31, 2017

Annual Discount Rate

0%

5%

10%

15%

BEFORE INCOME TAXES

Proved

Developed Producing

1,587.1

1,154.8

905.4

747.8

Developed Non-Producing

15.9

11.7

9.1

7.3

Undeveloped

2,418.7

1,318.3

725.0

382.8

Total Proved

4,021.7

2,484.7

1,639.5

1,138.0

Probable

6,953.0

3,187.6

1,650.1

932.7

Total Proved Plus Probable

10,974.7

5,672.3

3,289.6

2,070.7

1.

Estimates of future net revenue, whether discounted or not, do not represent fair market value.

2.

Future net revenue is after deduction of estimated costs of abandonment and reclamation of existing and future wells that were evaluated by GLJ in the 2017 Reserves Evaluation and does not include costs of abandonment and reclamation of facilities.

Reconciliation of Company Gross Reserves

(Forecast Prices and Costs; Numbers in this table may not add due to rounding)

Natural Gas
(Shale Gas)

NGLs

Total

Total

(Bcf)

(MMbbl)

(MMboe)

(Bcfe)

Proved Developed Producing Reserves

Opening Balance December 31, 2016

443.6

6.8

80.7

484.4

Discoveries

Extensions and Improved Recovery (1)

286.9

5.3

53.1

318.7

Technical Revisions

3.3

(0.4)

0.2

1.2

Economic Factors (2)

(6.6)

(0.1)

(1.2)

(7.1)

Dispositions

Acquisitions (3)

92.5

0.1

15.6

93.6

Production (4)

(86.1)

(1.3)

(15.7)

(93.9)

Closing Balance December 31, 2017

733.7

10.5

132.8

796.6

Proved Reserves

Opening Balance December 31, 2016

2,424.8

38.0

442.1

2,652.7

Discoveries

Extensions and Improved Recovery (1)

75.1

0.9

13.5

80.8

Technical Revisions

(77.9)

(6.6)

(19.6)

(117.4)

Economic Factors (2)

(31.3)

(0.3)

(5.5)

(33.2)

Dispositions

Acquisitions (3)

619.6

0.3

103.5

621.2

Production (4)

(86.1)

(1.3)

(15.7)

(93.9)

Closing Balance December 31, 2017

2,924.2

31.0

518.4

3,110.2

Proved Plus Probable Reserves

Opening Balance December 31, 2016

4,516.7

70.6

823.4

4,940.3

Discoveries

Extensions and Improved Recovery (1)

66.7

0.3

11.5

68.8

Technical Revisions

126.1

(6.7)

14.3

85.8

Economic Factors (2)

(55.1)

(0.5)

(9.7)

(58.0)

Dispositions

Acquisitions (3)

1,886.5

10.6

325.0

1,950.1

Production (4)

(86.1)

(1.3)

(15.7)

(93.9)

Closing Balance December 31, 2017

6,454.9

73.0

1,148.8

6,893.0

(1)

The changes comprising “Extensions and Improved Recovery” were the result of expanded areas being attributed to Proved and to Proved Plus Probable reserves.

(2)

The changes attributed to “Economic Factors” result from GLJ’s price forecasts used in the 2017 Reserves Report being lower than GLJ’s price forecasts used in the 2016 Reserves Report.

(3)

Represents the reserves acquired pursuant to the acquisition of UGR Blair Creek Ltd.

(4)

Represents the Corporation’s actual production for the year ended December 31, 2017.

 

Painted Pony uses the measure of recycle ratios as a measure of the Corporation’s ability to grow reserves profitably and invest capital efficiently. The recycle ratio is calculated by dividing the annual corporate operating netback by the annual finding, development and acquisition cost, both on a per unit basis.  The higher the recycle ratio, the more efficient the Corporation has been in deploying capital to grow reserves.  The Corporation also uses the 3-year weighted average recycle ratio, which smooths out yearly fluctuations by dividing the 3-year weighted average operating netback by the 3-year weighted average finding, development and acquisition cost, both on a per unit basis. The following table highlights Painted Pony’s capital program  efficiency and the resulting recycle ratios.

Capital Efficiencies (1)

(Forecast Prices and Costs)

Proved Developed Producing

2017

3-Year Weighted Avg.

Finding, Development & Acquisition Cost ($/Mcfe)

$1.40

$1.14

Recycle Ratio                                                 

1.1x

1.3x

Proved

Finding, Development & Acquisition Cost ($/Mcfe)

$0.96

$0.79

Recycle Ratio

1.6x

1.8x

Proved Plus Probable

Finding, Development & Acquisition Cost ($/Mcfe)

$0.82

$0.45

Recycle Ratio

1.9x

3.2x

(1)

See advisories with respect to finding, development & acquisition costs.

Future Development Costs of Undeveloped Reserves

(Forecast Prices and Costs)

Total Proved Undeveloped

As at December 31

2017

2016

Net Total Proved Undeveloped Wells

368

339

Total Proved Future Development Capital ($Millions)

1,847

1,825

Reserves (Bcfe)

3,110

2,164

Total Proved Future Development Capital per Mcfe

$0.59

$0.84

(Forecast Prices and Costs)

Proved Plus Probable Undeveloped

As at December 31

2017

2016

Net Proved Plus Probable Undeveloped Wells

759

548

Proved Plus Probable Future Development Capital ($Millions)

4,133

2,917

Reserves (Bcfe)

6,893

4,317

Proved Plus Probable Future Development Capital per Mcfe

$0.60

$0.68

2017 FINANCIAL AND OPERATING RESULTS
Capital Expenditures
Painted Pony invested a total of $303 million during 2017 into the Corporation’s Montney assets.  Activities included the drilling of 52 (52.0 net) wells, the completion of 51 (51.0 net) and minor investments into associated facilities and infrastructure.

During the fourth quarter of 2017, Painted Pony drilled 7 (7.0 net) and completed 15 (15.0 net) wells, and executed a capital program of $62 million, which was lower than planned spending of $74 million per Painted Pony’s guidance.

Production
The Corporation’s 2017 annual average daily production increased by 85% to 257 MMcfe/d (42,882 boe/d) over 2016 annual average daily production volumes of 139 MMcfe/d (23,204 boe/d).  Painted Pony increased fourth quarter 2017 production volumes by 43% to 315 MMcfe/d (52,544 boe/d) compared to fourth quarter 2016 production volumes of 220 MMcfe/d (36,695 boe/d).

The production volume increase during 2017 was driven by production additions from successful new drills in the Blair Creek, Townsend and Daiber areas, the commissioning of the AltaGas Townsend Facility expansion in the third quarter of 2016, and the acquisition of UGR Blair Creek Ltd.

Painted Pony’s increase in liquids production volumes by 130% to 3,587 bbls/d in 2017 compared to 1,557 bbls/d in 2016 reflects the impact of a full year of liquids-rich processing capacity of the Townsend Facility that came on-line during the third quarter of 2016. Production volumes during the fourth quarter of 2017 were impacted by approximately 48 MMcfe/d (8,000 boe/d) of voluntary pricing-related production shut-ins.

Adjusted Funds Flow from Operations
Adjusted funds flow from operations increased to $108 million during 2017, compared to adjusted funds flow from operations of $56 million in the year ended December 31, 2016.  The increase in adjusted funds flow from operations is the result of an 85% increase in production volumes, a 24% increase in per unit realized gains on risk management contracts, and an 11% increase in realized commodity prices, offset by a 7% increase in costs per unit.

Painted Pony’s adjusted funds flow from operations increased to $35 million during the fourth quarter of 2017, an increase of 33%, compared to adjusted funds flow from operations of $27 million during the fourth quarter of 2016.

The increase in adjusted funds flow from operations was largely the result of a 43% fourth quarter over fourth quarter increase in average daily production volumes including a 44% increase in liquids production to 4,575 bbls/d during the fourth quarter of 2017 from 3,177 bbls/d during the fourth quarter of 2016.

2018 CAPITAL PROGRAM
The 2018 capital budget strategy is to deliver a capital program that approximately matches internally generated adjusted funds flow from operations. Painted Pony closely monitors commodity prices and the impact forward strip prices may have on near-term adjusted funds flow from operations to ensure forecasted levels of capital spending align with the Corporation’s stated 2018 capital spending strategy.

CFO Appointment
Mr. Stuart Jaggard, Vice President, Finance, is appointed Chief Financial Officer of the Corporation on March 7, 2018. Mr. Jaggard joined Painted Pony as Vice President and Controller in October 2014. He has over 30 years of experience in the oil and gas industry, obtaining his Chartered Accountant designation in 1985. He held various senior finance positions within the oil and gas industry prior to joining Painted Pony. Mr. Jaggard worked in the audit practice of KPMG LLP from 1982 to 1995.

Mr. Jaggard completed his Bachelor of Commerce degree at the University of Calgary in 1982. He is a member of CPA Canada and CPA Alberta.

FINANCIAL AND OPERATIONAL HIGHLIGHTS

Years ended December 31,

($ millions, except per share and shares outstanding)

2017

2016

Change

Financial

Petroleum and natural gas revenue(1)

249.2

121.6

105%

Cash flow from operating activities

106.9

44.7

139%

Per share – basic(3)

0.76

0.45

69%

Per share – diluted(4)

0.74

0.45

64%

Adjusted funds flow from operations(2)

107.5

55.6

93%

Per share – basic(3)

0.76

0.56

36%

Per share – diluted(4)

0.75

0.56

34%

Net income (loss) and comprehensive income (loss)

122.4

(51.9)

 

Per share – basic(3)

0.87

(0.52)

Per share – diluted(4)

0.85

(0.52)

Capital expenditures

302.6

204.4

48%

Working capital (deficiency) (5)

33.0

(73.6)

Bank debt

149.2

200.8

(26)%

Senior notes

141.6

Convertible debentures – liability

44.9

Net debt (6)

363.9

228.5

59%

Total assets

2,031.6

1,337.0

52%

Shares outstanding (millions)

161.0

100.2

61%

Basic weighted-average shares (millions)

140.7

100.1

41%

Fully diluted weighted-average shares (millions)

144.1

100.1

44%

Operational

Daily production volumes

Natural gas (MMcf/d)

235.8

129.9

82%

Natural gas liquids (bbls/d)

3,587

1,557

130%

Total (MMcfe/d)

257.3

139.2

85%

Total (boe/d)

42,882

23,204

85%

Realized commodity prices

Natural gas ($/Mcf)

2.13

2.04

4%

Natural gas liquids ($/bbl)

50.53

43.49

16%

Total ($/Mcfe)

2.65

2.39

11%

Operating netbacks ($/Mcfe)(7)

2.01

1.73

16%

(1)

Before royalties.

(2)

Adjusted funds flow from operations and adjusted funds flow from operations per share (basic and diluted) are non-GAAP measures used to represent cash flow from operating activities before the effects of changes in non-cash working capital, share unit expense and decommissioning expenditures.  Adjusted funds flow from operations per share is calculated by dividing adjusted funds flow from operations by the weighted average number of basic or diluted shares outstanding in the period. See “Non-GAAP Measures”  in Management Discussion and Analysis for the year ended December 31, 2017.

(3)

Basic per share information is calculated on the basis of the weighted average number of shares outstanding in the period.

(4)

Diluted per share information reflects the potential dilutive effect of stock options and convertible debentures.

(5)

Working capital deficiency is a non-GAAP measure calculated as current assets less current liabilities. See “Non-GAAP Measures” in Management Discussion and Analysis for the year ended December 31, 2017.

(6)

Net debt is a non-GAAP measure calculated as bank debt, senior notes, liability portion of convertible debentures, and working capital deficiency, adjusted for the net current portion of fair value of risk management contracts and current portion of finance lease obligation. See “Non-GAAP Measures” in Management Discussion and Analysis for the year ended December 31, 2017.

(7)

Operating netbacks is a non-GAAP measure calculated on a per unit basis as natural gas and natural gas liquids revenues, adjusted for realized gains or losses on risk management, less royalties, operating expenses and transportation costs. See “Non-GAAP Measures” and “Operating Netbacks” in Management Discussion and Analysis for the year ended December 31, 2017.



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